Maksim Ovcharenko vs Marcin Stepien

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26 Oct · 12:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1712

3-2Final setsOvcharenko won

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1614

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 57%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Marcin Stepien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.54

Favourite won

Set handicap

Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Ovcharenko −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.65

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 54% → final 90%

Marcin Stepien ▼

Biggest swing 71 ptsOvcharenko recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games