Maksim Ovcharenko vs Marcin Stepien

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26 Oct · 14:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1706

3-0Final setsOvcharenko won

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1595

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 58%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-0 — the pick was correct.

Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Marcin Stepien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.54

Favourite won

Set handicap

Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Ovcharenko −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

3.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 55% → final 90%

Marcin Stepien ▼

Biggest swing 70 ptsOvcharenko recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games