27 Oct · 08:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1640
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krenek
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1539
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (159)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)