27 Oct · 07:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1569
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pawlik
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1490
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)