27 Oct · 08:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1494
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Raska
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1539
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 69% (105)
Fair odds · Raska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.