27 Oct · 10:25 MEZLow · Coin Flip
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1722
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1726
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Nadvornik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (43)
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H14-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.