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27 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMarcin Stepien
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1604
3-1Final setsStepien won
DSDawid Stapor
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1604
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stapor at 52%. The actual result was Marcin Stepien 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Stapor favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 78.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Stapor −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Stapor −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Stepien is favoured to win, below means Dawid Stapor.

▲ Marcin Stepienpre 51% → final 49%
Dawid Stapor ▼
Biggest swing 46 ptsStapor recovered from 6%67 points · 4 games