27 Oct · 16:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1598
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sebl
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1546
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H10-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.