27 Oct · 16:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1512
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dvorak
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1557
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (83)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.