27 Oct · 16:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1604
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bartik
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1667
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mastera🌟Bartik goes over total as favourite 65% (71)
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H15-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)