27 Oct · 15:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1702
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Moravec
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1604
FormWWWWL
58%
42%
🌟Skulina covers set handicap as underdog 65% (40)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)