27 Oct · 17:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hitzger
ELO 1725
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hitzger
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1667
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
🌟Hitzger covers set handicap as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Hitzger
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)