27 Oct · 15:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1606
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1607
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H106-87
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.