28 Oct · 10:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chlad
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1511
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sindler🌟Sindler covers set handicap as underdog 70% (131)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H11-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.