28 Oct · 08:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1510
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (74)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.