28 Oct · 09:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1511
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1483
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Drozd covers set handicap as underdog 65% (55)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.