28 Oct · 10:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1500
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kulveit
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1416
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Filipek goes over total as underdog 64% (193)
Fair odds · Kulveit
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)