28 Oct · 08:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1458
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kulveit
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1500
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Jamrich stays under total as underdog 63% (59)
Fair odds · Kulveit
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H18-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.