Michal Szostak vs Bartosz Matachowski

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27 Oct · 23:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Michal Szostak

ELO 1467

1-3Final setsMatachowski won

🇨🇿Bartosz Matachowski

ELO 1443

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostak at 53%. The actual result was Bartosz Matachowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

Michal Szostak — profile →Bartosz Matachowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Szostak favoured — closing 1.6

Upset

Total 78.5

71 points played

Under

Set handicap

Michal Szostak −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Szostak −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Szostak is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Matachowski.

▲ Michal Szostakpre 57% → final 5%

Bartosz Matachowski ▼

Biggest swing 68 ptsMatachowski recovered from 27%70 points · 4 games