28 Oct · 09:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1479
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Przybyla
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1470
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Przybyla rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (57)
Fair odds · Przybyla
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H7-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.