28 Oct · 11:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1452
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kulveit
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1500
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Dvorak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (121)
Fair odds · Kulveit
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.