28 Oct · 09:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1458
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jamrich
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1452
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvorak🌟Dvorak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (121)
Fair odds · Jamrich
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.