28 Oct · 10:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1458
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jamrich
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1416
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Filipek goes over total as underdog 64% (193)
Fair odds · Jamrich
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.