28 Oct · 09:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1566
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vinansky
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1470
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Lysek goes over total as underdog 66% (44)
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)