28 Oct · 09:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1510
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Coufal
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1483
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Coufal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (15)
Fair odds · Coufal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.