28 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1572
3-1Final setsGola won
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1594
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Galus at 54%. The actual result was Pawel Gola 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Galus favoured — closing 1.6
Set handicap
Galus −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Galus −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Gola is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Galus.
▲ Pawel Golapre 42% → final 99%
Mateusz Galus ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsGola recovered from 15%70 points · 4 games