28 Oct · 18:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PR
🇨🇿Pavel Rissky
ELO 1530
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1531
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.