28 Oct · 20:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Baca
ELO 1532
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1643
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Baca🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (192)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)