28 Oct · 20:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿David Osvald
ELO 1529
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Osvald
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1511
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Osvald stays under total as favourite 64% (47)
Fair odds · Osvald
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.