28 Oct · 20:20 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1433
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Muller
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1484
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rein🌟Muller rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (70)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H8-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.