28 Oct · 20:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1636
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cernota
FC
🇨🇿Filip Cernota
ELO 1701
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Cernota goes over total as favourite 65% (40)
Fair odds · Cernota
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H159-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (159-73)