28 Oct · 20:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1703
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sarganek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1643
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 67% (134)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H10-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)