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28 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Komorowicz
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1448
3-1Final setsKomorowicz won
DKDenys Kovtanyuk
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1385
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Komorowicz at 55%. The actual result was Jakub Komorowicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Komorowicz favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 78.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Komorowicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Komorowicz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Komorowicz is favoured to win, below means Denys Kovtanyuk.

▲ Jakub Komorowiczpre 52% → final 91%
Denys Kovtanyuk ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsKomorowicz recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games