29 Oct · 17:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1708
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kadavy
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1593
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)