29 Oct · 16:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1438
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pesout
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1463
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Pesout goes over total as favourite 62% (53)
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.