29 Oct · 16:55 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Soucek
ELO 1494
FormLLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Strejc
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1611
FormLWWLL
40%
60%
🌟Strejc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (72)
Fair odds · Strejc
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H27-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-24)