29 Oct · 16:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lisztwan
ELO 1570
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skulina
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1618
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.