29 Oct · 16:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1576
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mrowetz
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1488
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Baros
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)