29 Oct · 16:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1503
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Flesar
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.