29 Oct · 16:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1597
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skulina
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1618
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.