29 Oct · 17:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1438
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 39% · 2.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.