29 Oct · 16:20 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1390
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zahradka
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1423
FormLLWLW
47%
53%
🌟Zahradka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (177)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.19· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.