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31 Oct · 19:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1451
3-0Final setsChmelicek won
SMSimon Mezlik
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1430
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmelicek at 50%. The actual result was Martin Chmelicek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Chmelicek favoured — closing 1.76
Favourite won
Total 75.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Martin Chmelicek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Martin Chmelicek −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.98
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Chmelicek is favoured to win, below means Simon Mezlik.

▲ Martin Chmelicekpre 46% → final 5%
Simon Mezlik ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsMezlik recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games