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01 Nov · 07:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TTTomas Trnka
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1620
3-1Final setsTrnka won
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1451
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trnka at 64%. The actual result was Tomas Trnka 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Trnka favoured — closing 1.24
Favourite won
Total 70.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tomas Trnka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tomas Trnka −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.46
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
10
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Trnka is favoured to win, below means Martin Chmelicek.

▲ Tomas Trnkapre 69% → final 92%
Martin Chmelicek ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts72 points · 4 games