1 Nov · 20:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1573
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sulc
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1497
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H23-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)