1 Nov · 20:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1526
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vitasek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1528
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 70% (84)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H24-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.