1 Nov · 22:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1528
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vitasek
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 72% (92)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.