1 Nov · 21:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1515
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Martin
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1451
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Martin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)