1 Nov · 21:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MD
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1371
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benesz
RB
🇨🇿Radomir Benesz
ELO 1379
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Dolezal stays under total as underdog 63% (49)
Fair odds · Benesz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.