1 Nov · 22:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1497
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vonasek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1592
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H59-69
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)